GDG- Aug 4, 1860 - success of the Republican ticket is inevitable

[Dennis Lawrence]

To Simeon Francis [1]
Friend Francis--- Springfield, Ills. Aug. 4. 1860

I have had three letters from you---one, a long one, received in February; 
one, telling me of the deputation of Mr. Greely to cast the vote of Oregon, 
in the Chicago convention, received a few days before that convention; and 
one written since you knew the result of your Oregon election, received a 
few days ago. I have not, till now, attempted an answer to any of them, 
because I disliked
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to write you a mere note, and because I could not find time to write at length.

Your brother Allen has returned from California, and, I understand, intends 
remaining here. Josiah [2] is running his J. P. court, about as when you 
left. We had a storm here last night which did considerable damage, the 
largest single instance of which, was to the Withies. [3] A well of their 
brick shop building was thrown in, and, it is said destroyed ten thousand 
dollars worth of carriages. I have heard of no personal injury done.

When you wrote, you had not learned of the doings of the democratic 
convention at Baltimore; but you will be in possession of it all long 
before this reaches you. I hesitate to say it, but it really appears now, 
as if the success of the Republican ticket is inevitable. We have no reason 
to doubt any of the states which voted for Fremont. Add to these, 
Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and New-Jersey, and the thing is done. Minnesota 
is as sure as such a thing can be; while the democracy are so divided 
between Douglas and Breckenridge in Penn. & N.J. that they are scarcely 
less sure. Our friends are also confident in Indiana and Illinois. I should 
expect the same division would give us a fair chance in Oregon. Write me 
what you think on that point.

We were very anxious here for David Logan's election. I think I will write 
him before long. If you see Col. Baker, [4] give him my respects. I do hope 
he may not be tricked out of what he has fairly earned.

Make my kindest regards to Mrs. Francis; and tell her I both hope and 
believe she is not so unhappy as when I saw her last. Your friend, as ever 
A. LINCOLN